Espeon ex (30th Celebration)

Likely to lag the market HIGH CONFIDENCE

Half of similar cards landed in the dark band in our test, and eight in ten in the wider one, −22% to +17%. The mark is no change. That is about $50.91 to $60.75 from today’s $58.92. This assumes the Pokémon market as a whole stays flat. If the market rises or falls, the range moves with it.

Confidence: high

This is how much evidence sits behind the outlook, not how likely the price is to rise: its price changed 27 times in 90 days, so the figure is current; only one of its set and its Pokémon has enough cards to compare with; the signals agree.

What it is based on

• This card moved −70% in 30 days, ahead of 0% of the 5,445 cards we score.
• The other 58 scored cards in ME: Mega Evolution Promo moved −15% on average, ahead of 2% of the 5,445 cards we score.
• Its Pokémon has too few scored cards to compare with, so that signal is left out.

▲ pushes the outlook up, ▼ pushes it down. Each signal is compared with other cards, not with zero: in a rising market a card that rose a little is still behind.

What it cannot see, and where it is weak

• Reprints, new sets, announcements, tournament results, grading and hype are not in a price series. They move cards more than anything here does.
• It was tested on one year of prices, and that year was a rising market. It has never been tested in a falling one.
• The published price trails real sales. Part of a rise it points to has already happened by the time it shows, and you cannot buy at this price.
• The downside is the dependable half: cards scored lowest lagged the market in six of seven test periods. The upside was weaker and faded within weeks for cards that trade often.
• The range is for cards like this one, not for this card. Two in ten similar cards landed outside even the wider range.
• Selling a card costs roughly 13–15% in fees and postage, so a small rise is a loss once sold.
• This is not investment advice. See how the outlook works and the terms.

Every outlook is written down once a week and judged 90 days later, misses included: the outlook record. To find other cards by budget, try the card picker.

outlook-90d.v1 · 5,445 cards scored · 2026-11-07